22 Apr
22Apr

Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2025

Markets Covered: SPY | USO | GLD | BTC | XRP


🔹 SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Technical Breakdown

Trend:

Still in a confirmed downtrend — lower highs and lower lows persist.→ Volume:

Heavy sell-side pressure continues. No volume exhaustion = downside momentum intact.→ MACD:

Still bearish. Histogram flattening → early signal of potential bounce/consolidation.→ RSI:

Weak (~35), not yet oversold. No bullish divergence yet.→ Short-Term Outlook:

Bias: Bearish – Rallies are being sold hard. Bears remain in control.→ Potential Trades:

  • 🔻 Bearish Setup:
    • Enter put spreads/shorts if SPY fails to reclaim 525–530 on low volume
    • Targets: 505 → 495
  • 🟡 Bullish Speculative Countertrend:
    • Small call positions if SPY bounces off 500 with conviction

🔹 USO (Oil Fund) – Technical Breakdown

MACD:

Still bearish but curling higher – early signs of possible bullish crossover.→ RSI:

Firming at ~50. Still neutral, but positioned for continuation if volume confirms.→ Bias:

Cautiously Bullish – Breakout possible if $71 is cleared on volume.→ Potential Trades:

  • Bullish Setup:
    • Go long on close above $71 w/ rising volume
  • 🔻 Fade Setup:
    • If rejected at $70–71, short entries valid
    • Target: $66

🔹 GLD (Gold ETF) – Technical Breakdown

Volume:

Strong accumulation. No signs of distribution – bulls in full control.→ MACD:

Exploding higher — histogram accelerating, MACD line diverging positively.→ RSI:

Above 80 = overbought, but in strong trends this signals strength.→ Outlook:

Bullish – We’re in “runaway” trend mode. Pullbacks likely get bought hard.→ Potential Trade:

  • 🚀 Momentum Long:
    • Entry zone: 307–309 on intraday dips

🔹 Bitcoin (BTC) – Technical Snapshot

MACD:

Bearish crossover confirmed recently, but histogram flattening = early stabilization.→ RSI:

Mid-range (~45–50) → Neutral→ Call:

Neutral to Cautiously Bullish

→ Direction will likely follow macro headlines & risk sentiment


🔹 XRP – Technical Snapshot

MACD:

Early signs of bullish momentum, minor uptick beginning.→ RSI:

In the 40s = Oversold to balanced→ Call:

Neutral to Slightly Bullish

→ Still coiled. A catalyst could spark breakout.



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